NFL Week 14 Sharp Money Report Sharps causing Eagles vs. Cowboys line bounces near key number

NFL Week 14 Sharp Money Report Sharps causing Eagles vs. Cowboys line bounces near key number

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LAS VEGAS Dave Sharapan savors the many sweet and spicy layers of the NFLs Game of the Week.One, because of the time slot, he says of the Philadelphia-Dallas standalone kickoff Sunday evening, and everything rolls to this game. It will decide the fate of a red or green bottom line for the books.It will have the most handle, and I dont think itll be close.Sharapan is a 30-year sportsbook oddsman who has spent most of his career behind the counter of nearly every Vegas property. With Matt Perrault, he is the bookmaker half of the popular The Bostonian vs. The Bookie podcast.Before him, on the office desk of his Summerlin home, sits an elaborate computer spreadsheet showing the shifting of every NFL spread, total and moneyline, in various colors of significance, at every Vegas book.He will decipher those movements and meanings.That game has so many layers, because of what happened to Philly at home against San Francisco, he says of the Niners 42-19 triumph in Philadelphia last Sunday.Everybody saw that, because it was in the afternoon window against two nondescript games. Last weeks look-ahead number for Philly was Dallas -2.5, and it BLEW through 3!The sharpest bettors were responsible.This early, that NEVER happens. And a couple places are at Dallas -3.5, Even money. Which tells me theres a little resistance at 3.5. As were talking, Circa went back to 3, at -120.The strategy at every book is different, getting on 3 and getting off 3. And that isnt the public moving those numbers; the public never moves numbers.Sharp punters salivated to nab Dallas -2.5 and Philly +3.5, to secure a middle opportunity that wins both wagers should the Cowboys win by three points.Sometimes it takes four or five days to set that up, he laughs. That starts Sunday night, or Jaquan Johnson Jersey on a look-ahead opener the previous week , to Tuesday.South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews still had Dallas -3.5 early Thursday. Sharapan visited Tuesday and was surprised to find the National Finals Rodeo beginning this week, confirmed by hundreds of Stetson hats.That 3.5 tells me Chris is waiting for Eagles money to come in, Sharapan laughs, but hes got a hotel FULL of Cowboys, literally, with the rodeo! This busine s is the best!Here's a look at some of the biggest NFL Week 14 games, with Vegas insights from Sharapan, as well as the latest from top-rated online sportsbooks.More NFL: | Indianapolis Colts (7-5, 8-4) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-6, 5-6-1 ATS)Sunday, 1 p.m. ETPaycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OHThis started Colts -2.5 at some shops and got shaved a point and a half. Sharapan expected it to flip, which it did at Circa (Bengals -1) late Wednesday.In relief of the injured Joe Burrow, 27-year-old rookie Jake Browning threw for 354 yards for his first NFL victory in the Bengals 34-31 overtime victory in Jacksonville.Cincy was done, but they got life. Theyre home, and Indy is on the second game of back-to-back road trips. I was surprised to see Indy favored, but this is what sharps do with these games le s than three.They take the plus side and the plus moneyline, and they try to drive it to the other side, then they take the plus on the other side. You sit in the book and go, Huh? I dont even know what we need just cover some of the teasers. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4, 8-4 ATS) at Cleveland Browns (7-5, 6-5-1 ATS)Sunday, 1 p.m. ETCleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OHA low-40s temperature is forecast, with sustained 23-mph winds and a 60 percent chance of rain in Cincinnati. Ditto for Cleveland, with a 75 percent precipitation po sibility.Every book had 3, some with a -120 premium. Sharapan heard that Dorian Thompson-Robinson might start for Cleveland.I thought they signed Joe Flacco to play Flacco?"DTR practiced Wednesday, but no Sunday starter has been named.Monday, Circa Sports had a 36 total.And it went to 33, to 31.5, to 31, back to 31.5, to 30, then 30.5 late Wednesday, Sharapan laughs. Rain, backup QBs, one of the top-five defenses in the league, in Cleveland Ive never seen NFL totals this low.Houston Texans (7-5, 6-6) at New York Jets (4-8, 4-7-1)Sunday, 1 p.m. ETMetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJLast week, the Jets were favored at home but lost to Atlanta, 13-8.One of the razor-blade sharp sides. A LOT of people I know and respect were on the Jets. I gave up on the Jets on Black Friday.Again at home, that day, New York got smoked by Miami, 34-13.I cant be involved in Jets games anymore, unle s its the UNDER. Look-ahead totals of 36, 35.5, are down to 33. Bettors want to go UNDER, so books are going to post uncomfortably low numbers.Spread openers of 6.5 and 6 have been cut, Sharapan believes, due to speculation about QB Zach Wilson playing for the Jets.For Houston, rookie QB CJ Stroud has won four of his past five, but Sharapan saw him in tears about the broken left fibula suffered by rookie receiver Tank Dell last Zack Moss Jersey week.You learn something from everything you see, watch and hear. Somebody saw that and said, Give me plus six! Somebody else says, Its a field goal game. You hear that all the time. So anything six becomes worthy of a play.More: Seattle Seahawks (6-6, 6-5-1 ATS) at San Francisco 49ers (9-3, 7-5 ATS)Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ETLevis Stadium, Santa Clara, CASharapan saw Circas look-ahead number at 12, the SuperBook 11. He doesnt see it dipping below 10.You have to keep it over there to try and combat the teasers. Over 10, a 6-point teaser only is 4.5, a 7-point teaser still over a field goal.The consensus favorite, from books on the East Coast to the West Coast to Vegas, and offshores, is that San Francisco is the best team in football. Who is putting Seattle plus the points on their teaser? A small percentage.But whos putting San Francisco, minus whatever theyll pay, on their teaser? Pretty much everybody.Read more: Buffalo Bills (6-6, 4-8 ATS) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-4, 7-5 ATS)Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ETGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MOA few 3 openers quickly disappeared for widespread 2.5s by Tuesday, then 1.5s late Wednesday.My first thought is, This flies over. Theyre trying to find Buffalo Bills Kids Jersey the top, too. Once we get there, we leave it. Unle s there are gale-force winds or a super snowstorm or rain, theyre going to bet this OVER.The temperature should be in the low 40s, with no other i sues.Philadelphia Eagles (10-2, 7-3-2 ATS) at Dallas Cowboys (9-3, 8-4 ATS)Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ETAT&T Stadium, Arlington, TXDallas is not only contending for the NFC East perch but a conference No. 1 playoff seed.And Dak Prescott is the favorite, with Niners QB Brock Purdy, for NFL MVP, Sharapan says. Its the perfect storm.An opening total of 48.5 pumped to 53 before mostly returning to 52 early Thursday.Related: | Tenne see Titans (4-8, 5-7 ATS) at Miami Dolphins (9-3, 8-4 ATS)Monday, 8:15 p.m. ETHard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FLTitans tailback Derrick Henry recorded his second consecutive two-TD effort and his third 100-yard rushing game of the season last week. Yet, Tenne see lost to the Colts in buffoon fashion.Everyone in the AFC is in the playoff hunt except New England, the Jets and Titans, Sharapan says. I dont know how much motivation they have going into this game.It opened Miami -11.5, hitting 13 at half of Vegas books, 13.5 at the other half.Fourteen can be the top. Washington didnt have a chance against Miami, and Fins receiver Tyreek Hill might set a record with 2,000 receiving yards. Unstoppable. Tenne see doesnt have an answer.Next week, Miami has the Jets at home and is a 13-point favorite; back-to-back 13-point faves! You dont see that often.Green Bay Packers (6-6, 7-5 ATS) at New York Giants (4-8, 4-7-1 ATS)Monday, 8:15 p.m. ETMetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJGreen Bay has lost three of its past five regular-season games against the Giants.Two Monday games at the same time? Books will probably do more handle on this game, so you have to be careful with the number. Green Bay is -200 to make the playoffs, and Packers QB Jordan Love looks better than ever.But dont go to seven. How many points can the Giants score? Thats the handicap. Can they get 17? If so, theyll likely cover. If not, you might be in trouble. If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation. Sporting News has editorial oversight for this content.
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